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Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Djokovic vs Minaur analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Djokovic has won 57.27% of points on his second serve, while Minaur has won 55.97%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Djokovic, in recent form, has won 56.29% of his opponent's second serve points, while Minaur has won 55.09%. The same stats for first serve returns are 32.57% and 34.41% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Djokovic has saved 63.11% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Minaur has saved 59.79% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Djokovic has won 84.21% of matches played (W/L 48/ 9), with Minaur winning 68.29% (W/L 56/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52). Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 44/ 22), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 55% (W/L 61/ 50).
  • Player level: In the last year, Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.59% of matches (W/L 25/ 2), where as Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 71.05% of matches (W/L 27/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Djokovic winning 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Djokovic winning 5 and Minaur winning 2. The last match between Djokovic and Minaur was at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo, 12-04-2024, Quarterfinals, Clay with Novak Djokovic getting the victory 7-5 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:54:34.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Djokovic and Minaur have played a deciding set 0 times, with Djokovic winning 0 times and Minaur 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Djokovic winning 0, and Minaur 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Djokovic has played against opponents with an average rank of 87.12 while Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 86.07.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Djokovic has won 60% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Minaur has won 70% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Djokovic has converted 41.11% of breakpoint opportunities, and Minaur has converted 42.05% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Djokovic 2 - 1 Minaur

Novak Djokovic

103

Total

40

Mast

3

Chall

24

Slam

27

Main

2

Minor

1

Rank

1

High

36

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

11

Rank

9

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Alex De Minaur

10

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

8

Main

1

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W L W L W W W L W L

Form

W W W L W L L W W L

83% (1201-242)

Career Total W/L

63% (335-195)

71% (12-5)

YTD W/L

71% (25-10)

$128,085,285

Career Prize Money

$8,585,855

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Djokovic VS Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Novak Djokovic Alex De Minaur
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 5 2
Games Won 39 26
Aces (Total) 10 13
DFs (Total) 5 8
Avg Match Time 1:54:34 1:54:34
1st Serve % 65% (129/200) 56% (114/202)
1st Serve Win% 70% (90/129) 68% (77/114)
2nd Serve Win% 56% (40/71) 48% (42/88)
BPs Won% (Total) 48% (11/23) 42% (5/12)
Return Points W% 41% (83/202) 35% (70/200)
Best of 3 Sets W% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (2/0)

Djokovic VS Minaur H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-5 6-4
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
6-4 6-4
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Novak Djokovic
69% ( 34 of 49)
1st Serve %
63% ( 43 of 68)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
97% ( 33 of 34)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 30 of 43)
53% ( 8 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
16% ( 8 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
68
Total Points Won
49
6-2 6-1 6-2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
65% ( 44 of 68)
1st Serve %
61% ( 50 of 82)
4
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
75% ( 33 of 44)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 26 of 50)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
28% ( 19 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 42 of 82)
91
Total Points Won
59

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Novak Djokovic Alex De Minaur
YTD W/L 71% (12/5) 71% (25/10)
Sets Win/Loss 67% (32/16) 67% (57/28)
Games Win/Loss 57% (257/192) 56% (438/340)
Hard Win/Loss 73% (8/3) 75% (15/5)
Clay Win/Loss 67% (4/2) 60% (6/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 80% (4/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.56 0.38
Aces Total 123 145
DFs per game 0.15 0.18
DFs Total 33 69
Avg Match Time 2:14:37 1:45:39
Avg Opp Rank 105.65 85.4
1st Serve % 63% (838/1335) 55% (1243/2254)
1st Serve W% 75% (625/838) 72% (893/1243)
2nd Serve W% 56% (280/497) 56% (567/1011)
BPs Won% Total 43% (66/152) 44% (119/271)
Return Pts W% 41% (578/1400) 42% (1072/2528)
Slam W/L 83% (5/1) 75% (3/1)
Masters W/L 63% (5/3) 64% (9/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (2/1) 76% (13/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 70% (21/30)
Best of 5 Sets W% 83% (5/6) 80% (4/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (4/6) 50% (4/8)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 56% (5/9)
1st set W, W 100% (12/12) 95% (21/20)
1st set W, L 0% (12/0) 5% (21/1)
1st set L, W 0% (5/0) 36% (14/5)

Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R3
cross
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve %
52% ( 27 of 52)
4
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
5
77% ( 23 of 30)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 19 of 27)
75% ( 9 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 10 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
54
Total Points Won
40
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Corentin Moutet
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve %
76% ( 45 of 59)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65% ( 17 of 26)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 33 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56% ( 44 of 78)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
58% ( 19 of 33)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
44% ( 34 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 79)
73
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 1-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
W
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
69% ( 46 of 67)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
52% ( 11 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 62)
72
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roman Safiullin
65% ( 22 of 34)
1st Serve %
43% ( 26 of 61)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 17 of 22)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 16 of 26)
92% ( 11 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
26% ( 5 of 19)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 6 of 34)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 34 of 61)
62
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Novak Djokovic
71% ( 64 of 90)
1st Serve %
60% ( 57 of 95)
6
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
1
69% ( 44 of 64)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 33 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 35 of 95)
92
Total Points Won
93
L
6-4 3-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
61% ( 46 of 76)
1st Serve %
56% ( 56 of 100)
11
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 44 of 56)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 12 of 44)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
29% ( 22 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 44 of 100)
98
Total Points Won
78
W
6-2 5-7 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Novak Djokovic
58% ( 64 of 110)
1st Serve %
68% ( 79 of 116)
9
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
83% ( 53 of 64)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 53 of 79)
63% ( 29 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 28 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 46 of 116)
128
Total Points Won
98
L
6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Taylor Fritz
63% ( 72 of 115)
1st Serve %
58% ( 90 of 154)
20
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
2
82% ( 59 of 72)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 59 of 90)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 31 of 64)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
27% ( 31 of 115)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 64 of 154)
148
Total Points Won
121
W
7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 6-3 H2H

Alex De Minaur Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Alex De Minaur
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve %
66% ( 27 of 41)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
83% ( 10 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 9 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 23 of 41)
53
Total Points Won
27
L
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
W
6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 35 of 56)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
74% ( 20 of 27)
1st Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 16 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 33 of 56)
64
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71% ( 32 of 45)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 21 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
62
L
7-6(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Alex De Minaur
61% ( 34 of 56)
1st Serve %
59% ( 41 of 69)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 33 of 69)
69
Total Points Won
56
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52% ( 28 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 50 of 73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 21 of 28)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 16 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 36 of 73)
74
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66% ( 42 of 64)
1st Serve %
42% ( 30 of 71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 33 of 71)
73
Total Points Won
62
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Alexei Popyrin
63% ( 27 of 43)
1st Serve %
67% ( 38 of 57)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
94% ( 15 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
59
Total Points Won
41
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Tallon Griekspoor
51% ( 36 of 70)
1st Serve %
66% ( 68 of 103)
2
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 44 of 68)
47% ( 16 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 103)
88
Total Points Won
85
W
2-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alex De Minaur
Player
Stan Wawrinka
43% ( 19 of 44)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
3
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
63% ( 12 of 19)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
64% ( 16 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
36% ( 16 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 31 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
39
W
6-3 6-0 H2H

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